AutoTiers guides & glossary

AutoTiers turns raw projections into draft-ready tiers using a stack of transparent, opt-in rules. This library explains each of those rules in plain English — what it does, where its thresholds come from, and what the evidence behind it actually says — alongside a glossary of the terms the app uses and answers to the questions we hear most often.

Start here

How AutoTiers works The full pipeline: blending projections, discounting partial seasons, applying rules, and clustering into tiers. Glossary VBD, replacement level, target share, snap share, Jenks natural breaks, superflex, and more. Frequently asked questions Scoring formats, superflex handling, and why ADP is a tiebreaker and never an input.

The rules, by theme

Every rule below is off by default. You switch on the ones you believe in, tune the rest, and AutoTiers shows you exactly how each toggle moves a player. These eight guides group the built-in rules by the football idea they encode.

Volume & workload Committee backfields, snap-share decline, handcuffs, and the 370-touch curse. Opportunity & usage Target share and red-zone looks — the volume that precedes fantasy points. Regression to the mean Touchdown luck, over- and under-performed opportunity, and bounce-back years. Age & experience curves Over-the-hill thresholds, the QB aging split, and second- and third-year leaps. Rookies & draft capital Why where a rookie was drafted is the best public signal you have. Team & contract situation New teams, new coaches, bad offenses, and following the money. Kicker environment Domes, Denver's altitude, and cold-weather markets. Data confidence & availability Injury history, availability risk, and missing projections.
← Back to AutoTiers